Saturday 14 May 2011

Good or Bad

China had months of faster economic activity. Nowadays it seemed like finally it is growing a little slow. Meanwhile, the central bank is putting 10 billions of renminby into the economy each week to keep the Chinese currency weaker against dollar. That’s why they are confused, whether the slowing is enough to bring down the inflation. “China’s Economy slows slightly, but inflation remains a worry" on the New York Times. (Wang, 2011)
Hilda Wang reports that China policy makers have difficult situation to measure how much currency appreciation the export industry can resist. Western and economists’ say printing renminbi and buying dollars would be the easy way for China could do in order to lower the inflation. But they are afraid that it cause dismissal of workers in the export industry. The government started to put in domestic measures such as racing interest rates and forcing commercial banks to fix their assets instead of lending themselves. According with Wang , any control on the domestic economy has a result opposite the government’s long term goal of export industry. Experts in the economic market think that the economy still is strong, but the increase in interest rates has affected particularly smaller business as clothing sector, because they exports with low profit margin. The Chinese economy grew up almost 26% more from the year earlier in contrast to global industrial production that grew 13.4%. In addition China’s trade profit in April at 11.43 billion was almost three times more than the economist had expected.
I think that China’s economy, could seem like the best, because they have a huge profit and also they made their market export worldwide. However, what is good for the export sector, is not good for the market domestic, so if China has too much exceeding in dollar in the market as a result inflation to the country. They balance of trade could reflects a superavit, which it is ironically affects the local economy. China has a big challenge for any slight decision that they take to curb the export, could affect the local economy. For instance they can cause layoffs in the export factories. In my opinion they need to take a hard measures as much in the local sector as the export sector and they must stop buying dollars and compete on the basis of the international rights in the wage and hiring of employees in both sectors and also they must invest in increase the quality of life of all Chinese people. In short China must invest to develop the quality of life of their country. It would help to give competitive prices and to decrease the inflation originated by the growth of the exports and the protection that China make of their currency.

References
Wang, H. (2011, May 12) China’s Economy slows slightly, but inflation remains a worry. The New York Times. Retrieved May 12, 2011 from http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/12/business/global/12yuan.html?scp=1&sq=China%E2%80%99s%20Economy%20slows%20slightly,%20%20but%20inflation%20remains%20a%20worry&st=cse

5 comments:

  1. Susana,
    It's nice to see a couple of people reading and blogging the more challenging articles in the New York Times.
    The BBC News is good for us to practise summarizing, citing, and responding to a text, but the standard of writing in the New York Times is much closer to what we should be aiming to read - like the articles themselves, the paragraphs are longer (many BBC News paragraphs are really single sentences), with more complex sentence structure and a much larger vocabulary than the BBC News uses.

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  2. Susanna,

    I don't think that it is a good idea to keep the Chinese currency from rising by pumping yuan into economy. In the long term, pumping yuan into economy will dramatically increase inflation rate. The more money pump into economy the more inflation they have to face in the future. This strategy( pumping yuan into economy) works in a short period. It can keep Chinese currency from rising for a short time. It will be better if the government let the Chinese currency fluctuating by the force of supply and demand of yuan (market forces)

    ReplyDelete
  3. Susanna,

    I don't think that it is a good idea to keep the Chinese currency from rising by pumping yuan into economy. In the long term, pumping yuan into economy will dramatically increase inflation rate. The more money pump into economy the more inflation they have to face in the future. This strategy( pumping yuan into economy) works in a short period. It can keep Chinese currency from rising for a short time. It will be better if the government let the Chinese currency fluctuating by the force of supply and demand of yuan (market forces)

    ReplyDelete
  4. Pree
    Maybe I did not explain very well, what I tried to say. I agreed with you. I tried to write that China must allow the free fluctuation of their currency. The overprotection against inflation that government is doing by putting 10 billion of yuan in the economy each week will only result in more inflation in the future. They need to keep their export market growing and must keep their currency weak to help it. They are trying to maintain a balance that keeps the people employed and happy and keeps the economy growing. This is the same problem that Taiwan faced in the 1990s and now we face in Thailand.

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  5. Susana
    I agree with you.China has to stop buying USA bonds.Even China has economic growth 10% and the largest export market but small factories were closed and lay-off a lot of workers. They not only wages are low but also their standard living high. I don't know why they can still alive.I agree with you but I disagree with Pree because China protect their benificts

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