Saturday 7 May 2016

Will Mr. Trump win the election?

Source background
In US election: What will Clinton v Trump look like? (2016), Anthony Zurcher stated that Mr. Trump has won the votes in Indiana state and now he's planing for the Republican to work on more for convention and the autumn general election campaign. Which might sound strange that Mrs. Clinton has lost the votes in Indiana state but the fact is that she just need to work a little bit more to win the votes all around. So the Democrat can win in this election. Can't deny that Mr. Trump is a rich man but he's not a giver. Amassing that kind of bankroll requires a well-developed network of donors - something that Mr Trump just doesn't have at this point. Add in Mr Trump's currently record-setting unfavorable ratings with Hispanic and female voters, and that electoral tilt looks like a brick wall. States like Florida will be incredibly challenging. Nevada, Colorado and Virginia are all swing states that will be tough to put in play. Mr Trump may have the ability to reach Americans not normally inclined to vote Republican - blue-collar workers and the economically distressed. The question is whether those gains will make up for losses within the Republican ranks and what could be massive turnout from elsewhere in the Democratic Party. The Clinton campaign has already begun hammering Mr Trump on his sometimes impetuous personality, late-night tweets and all. They'll try to paint him as a dangerously erratic occupant of the Oval Office.

Chart showing average opinion poll ratings


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My Yes/No question is:
Will Mr. Trump win the election?

My answer is:
No, I don't think so.

I'm not going to choose side or which team I'm in. But from the report, it is shown that the result in counting in Indiana state Mr. Trump may had won there but for most parts of the state Democrat is still on top of lists. Also in so many campaign, Mrs. Clinton has already started it while Republican is still planing on to do some of them. "Throughout this campaign, Donald Trump has demonstrated that he's too divisive and lacks the temperament to lead our nation and the free world," Clinton campaign aide John Podesta said in a statement on Tuesday night. "With so much at stake, Donald Trump is simply too big of a risk." Facing off against Mr Trump is going to take a nimble, creative campaign and candidate. That hasn't always been a strength for the instinctively controlled and cautious Mrs Clinton. Also there are some requirements for being a president which one of them is the president need to be a giver, Mr. Trump is a wealthy man but he's not so wealthy as to self-fund the near billion-dollar enterprise that a modern presidential campaign has become. That's something Donald trump doesn't have.


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Reference
Zurcher, A. (21\016, May 4). US election: What will Clinton v Trump look like? BBC news. Retrieved from http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-36200002 

3 comments:

  1. In this hour, nobody doesn't know Donald Trump, although a few years ago, I have no idea who he was. He may so famous for his crazy ideas about chasing the Muslims and Latino away from the States ,or his clearly declarations of hating the colored.

    I have no wonder at all about why Trump is such a millionaire. His marketing that he also use in his canvass is brilliant. Most of Trump's policies might sounds silly, disgusting and impossible, but they can make him so well-known. And that's the point.

    I strongly believe that even he won the president's chair, he wouldn't really do some stupid policies mentioned. Since they're just his ads.

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  2. I don't totally agree with you in some parts Fang. In the part that you mentioned about Trump being a billionaire, I definitely agree with you. His marketing idea sounds so great and he had made the money to show that it's not just the idea he's also a big business magnet too. But the thing is he has some point that doesn't fit as a president. He might win from a little more voters but i don't think he would make a good president according to his craziness and his stupid thoughts. Most parts of the states have make fun of this election as a "I don't wanna pick any side or the states is gonna die" I heard this from my friends and they all think if it's possible they would go for no votes. I don't really have an opinion on this much but as i'm going to the states next year, what will happen will happen i just hope they choose the best person to be the president.

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  3. It would be hard for me to predict whether Trump will win the election because I do not follow the U.S. election news closely and thus having not much information to evaluate.

    At the same time, I do not know the U.S. candidates in detail, just taking a look at their news once in a blue moon or hearing from other people talking to some extent. It seems a lot of people think he is crazy and sort of extreme for almost everything. Yet, unbelievably there are a great number of his supporters.

    I personally have no ability to talk much in international politics and even in Thai politics. I am not in to that at all. The political system in the U.S. seems pretty complex to understand in my opinion.
    Plus, although this question sounds challenging to answers, the more challenging one is what will happen if he becomes the U.S. president. Do you agree with me for this?

    Ultimately, no matter who will win the election, I hope that the next U.S. president will be a very good leader for his/her nation and for a good role model for other countries, bringing sustainable peace and happiness to our world.

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